The set-up: Neither team puts much stock into playing defense, but I think this number is still way too high. Dallas beat the Wolves by 16 under two weeks ago, so the rebuilding home side is out to avenge that poor effort. Dallas also comes in off a loss, falling in Miami after another poor defensive effort.

The pick: There's a chance that Mavs star Luka Doncic may sit this one out. But whether he plays or not, I love this total to stay below this sky-high number. Note as well that Dallas has seen the total go under the number in six of its last seven off a road loss, while Minnesota has seen the total dip below in nine of its last 14 after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. This number is a tad high.

10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Mavs/Wolves.