The set-up: This series shifts from Cincinnati to Cleveland for two more. Despite what happens on Tuesday in Cincinnati, I expect these two starting "studs" to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries. Luis Castillo (0-1, 4.50 ERA) has faced the Tigers twice already this year and in one game he was downright filthy and in the other he got shelled. Castillo was 15-8 with 3.40 ERA last year and he was especially dominant on the road by going 7-1 with a 3.88 ERA (also 12-3 with a 3.53 ERA in all "night" games.)

The pick: Mike Clevinger (0-1, 4.91) is coming off back-to-back tough outings, which is uncharacteristic for the Indians' hard-throwing right-hander. Clevinger was 13-4 with a 2.71 ERA last year and he was particularly awesome at home by going 5-1 with a 1.79 ERA. With these two starters expected to throw deep, I look for this total to stay under.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Reds/Indians.