The set-up: So far both of these contests have gone "under" the number. Game 1 so five OT's and then the Blue Jackets won Game 2 by a score of 3-1. While the first two games of this series have gone UNDER and while it's so far been dominated by great goaltending, I believe that trend changes dramatically in Game 3. This has been an exhausting series and I believe each team will struggle to maintain the same defensive intensity.

The pick: Addtionally note that Tampa has seen the total go over the number in 13 of its last 20 after back-to-back "unders" and off a two goals or greater loss. The gloves are off and the "feeling out" period is over. Game 3 has "shootout" written all over it!

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Lightning/Jackets.