The set-up: I think that from a situational stand point, this one sets up great as a higher-scoring affair. The Heat are 3-1 SU/ATS in this season series after taking Game 1 SU/ATS as an underdog. The Bucks will be on a mission here after being held to 11 points less than their playoff average in Game 1's loss.

The pick: Milwuakee is averaging 114.2 PPG in the playoffs and the Heat are averaging 112. Miami got 115 in Game 1 and I believe it'll be able to duplicate that points total here again in Game 2 with what I expect to be a much faster-paced affair. This number is indeed a little low.

The is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Heat/Bucks.