The set-up: So far every game in this series has gone "under" the number (one game "pushed" for some), but I think that trend is going to change finally in Game 6. Denver just doesn't quit, I had a play on the Nuggets in Game 5 and while I said in my analysis that I wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, but I have to say that I am in fact a little surprised. That said, the Nuggets proved in their previous series than they're not ever going to "give up," as they were also down 1-3 vs. the Jazz, before then rolling off three straight victories. That's going to be much more difficult to accomplish I think though vs. this deeper and vastly superior Clippers team though. LA will be out to push the pace of Game 6 from start to finish, as it'll be very worried about letting Denver get back into this series. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe that Game 6 does indeed finally set up as a higher-scoring "over."

The pick: Note as well that the Clippers have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to back-to-back "unders." Expect this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch.

This is a 10* TOTAL U OF THE U on the OVER Clippers/Nuggets.