The set-up: I had a play on the Islanders in Game 3 and that big underdog pick cashed for us. In Game 4 I'm going to recommend to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. If you haven't had a chance to read my analysis on that Game 3 victory, I believe it's worth doing so now, as the logic behind that selection for the most part also directly applies to this one: The set-up: New York threw in the "white towel" in its Game 1 loss, in which it was humbled 8-2. The Islanders came out fying in Game 2 and posted an early goal, which held late into the third period. The Lightning then scored with only eight seconds remaining in regulation to win the game. Do I think that the Islanders are going to get swept in this series? I absolutely do not. New York is well coached, it's disciplined, it's deep and it's blessed with World class goaltending. Tampa is the better team on paper and on the ice, but I think it has a mental letdown here vs. this determined and now very desperate Islanders team.

The pick: Finally note as well that the Islanders are 8-3 in their last 11 after back-to-back losses. This is essentially "do or die" for the Islanders, as a 3-0 hole would clearly be too much for it to climb out of. I look for New York to get back into this one with a resounding victory!

The pick: In a contest which I think'll come down to the wire (or even be decided in extra time!), I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance!

This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on the Islanders PUCK LINE.