The set-up: New York will have to go on the attack today to stave off elimination. That'll leave it susceptible on the back end to the opportunistic Lightning. I simply can't see how the Islanders can "sit back" and wait for the Lightning to make a mistake, they're going to have to press from start to finish, even if they have the lead. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a faster-paced affair in my opinion.

The pick: Note as well that the Islanders have seen the total go "over" the number in nine of their last 12 after scoring one goal or less in a three goals or larger loss in their previous outing. This number is a little low.

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the OVER Islanders/Lightning.