The set-up: I like the Padres to bounce back here and respond after their series opening loss to the Cards. St. Louis jumped out to an early 4-0 lead in the top of the first inning and San Diego was never able to catch-up. With their backs against the wall here, I love the Padres in this spot. The visitors go with Adam Wainwright (5-3, 3.15 ERA), while the home side counters with Zach Davies (7-4, 2.73). Davies gets the slight nod in this matchup throwing at home.

The pick: Additionally note that the Padres are 7-2 in their last nine after allowing seven or more runs in a home loss to an opponent in their previous outing. Davies gets the nod on the bump and the numbers/trends also point to San Diego getting revenge in Game 2. I'm laying the price!

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the San Diego Padres.