The set-up: The Lakers were one of the best defensive clubs in the regular season and now that they can see that the Heat are injured and floundering, I expect them to double down on their strengths in Game 2. Clearly Miami has no answer for Lakers' big man Anthony Davis, so expect LA to continue to run their offense through him. Miami's only hope is to start shooting the three-ball, but again, LA is extremely adept and rotating and guarding the perimeter. From a situational stand-point, I think this one sets up great as a lower-scoring affair.

The pick: I'll point out as well that LA has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 after a ten-points or greater victory in its previous outing. I think the Heat have already mentally thrown in the towel. This one has "under" written all over it.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Heat/Lakers.