The set-up: I think this one sets up great from a situational stand point as being a slower-paced, more defensive affair. Minnesota is desperate to break a four-game slide and this is the second game of a two-game home-and-home series. Getting out to a quick start and establishing themselves will clearly be paramount for the Wolves as they try to pull off the upset here. Overall the Wolves are averaging 106.2 PPG, while conceding 119.5.

The pick: Denver is averaging 116 PPG, while allowing 116 as well. Both teams are struggling in many areas to open up the season, but I can't see Minnesota turning this one into a "track meet" as it tries to get back on track. Finally note that the Wolves have seen the total go "under" the number in ten of their last 15 after three or more SU losses in a row. This number is a tad high, the play is the "under."

This is an 8* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Wolves/Nuggets.