The set-up: The Mets hit the field for the first time this year and while they clearly have the superior starter on the mound in this matchup, the Phillies have the advantage of having already played a series, while also having the advantage of playing at home here. The Mets were terrible last year, especially on the road. They also have give Jacob DeGrom little run support most nights.

The pick: Matt Moore has been given a second chance after throwing a year in Japan. Thankfully Moore will be able to rely on a revamped bullpen which has thrown 7 1/3 scoreless innings over the first three games. Great value on the run-line here.

This is an 8* RUN LINE play on the Phillies.