PREMIUM
Reds/Phillies: Who can take the heat?
(MLB) Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia,
Point Spread: 1.50 | -139.00 Cincinnati (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 1.50 | -139.00 Cincinnati (Away)
Result: Win
Reds (Mahle) vs Phillies (Wheeler)
Off a pair of losses, the Phillies solved the Dodger problem, winning by the slimmest of margins on Thursday. Thanks to an 8-2 record they now lead the NL East by a half a game. The Reds broke out against the Braves in a big way, and come to Philadelphia in the hunt for a wild card spot.
Zack Wheeler is starting on Friday, and has he been hot! Off a 2 hit complete game shutout and a pair of 7 inning efforts vs the Nationals, he is 4-2 and an ERA of 2.90 in his last 7 starts. He has been sharp all year and especially solid at home.
Tyler Mahle might not have quite the ERA at 3.78 but he has an enviable record of 9-3. He averages 5+ innings a start and has won 2 of 3, giving up 6 ER in that time. While his ERA has slipped a bit since the break, he is 6-1 on the road.
By the stats, the Phillies have had the superior pen, but the Reds have reloaded and have been very sharp with a collective relief ERA of 2.22 last 7.The Phillies can’t match that record, and in the last three games, their pen has been outright poor and heavily overused.
The Reds are a very good road team. They have a potent offense and handle right- handed pitching very well. They have a 9-5 record as a road underdog. Phillies are a great home team, and it is hard to bet agaisnt Wheeler, but the Philadelphia bullpen really concerns me. The Reds are a significant underdog and I like Mahle in this situation, but applying the ‘Zack” factor, I’m wagering on the Reds +1.5.
Off a pair of losses, the Phillies solved the Dodger problem, winning by the slimmest of margins on Thursday. Thanks to an 8-2 record they now lead the NL East by a half a game. The Reds broke out against the Braves in a big way, and come to Philadelphia in the hunt for a wild card spot.
Zack Wheeler is starting on Friday, and has he been hot! Off a 2 hit complete game shutout and a pair of 7 inning efforts vs the Nationals, he is 4-2 and an ERA of 2.90 in his last 7 starts. He has been sharp all year and especially solid at home.
Tyler Mahle might not have quite the ERA at 3.78 but he has an enviable record of 9-3. He averages 5+ innings a start and has won 2 of 3, giving up 6 ER in that time. While his ERA has slipped a bit since the break, he is 6-1 on the road.
By the stats, the Phillies have had the superior pen, but the Reds have reloaded and have been very sharp with a collective relief ERA of 2.22 last 7.The Phillies can’t match that record, and in the last three games, their pen has been outright poor and heavily overused.
The Reds are a very good road team. They have a potent offense and handle right- handed pitching very well. They have a 9-5 record as a road underdog. Phillies are a great home team, and it is hard to bet agaisnt Wheeler, but the Philadelphia bullpen really concerns me. The Reds are a significant underdog and I like Mahle in this situation, but applying the ‘Zack” factor, I’m wagering on the Reds +1.5.
