Even after a sub .500 season it is hard to go against Brady and the Bucs. It would be easier if Prescott were playing a little better. A few things stand out in this match-up. As noted in the media, the Cowboys a. haven't won in a quite a while against the Bucs, b. don't play well on real grass, and c. Tampa, while losing more than winning this season, are above .500 at home.

The Cowboys have gotten away from their running game lately; the Bucs who are last in the league in rush yards for the season, have put up just as many yards as Dallas lately. The Bucs seldom run the ball, but did against the Cowboys in their first game and again against the Seahawks, two of their best performances this year. The Cowboys are susceptible to the run, so it is a possibility we will see more from Fournette and the rush defense on Monday. Brady has looked better connected to his targets, and might hold on to the ball a little longer with the season on the line.

Prescott has no impressed at all in recent games, and it isn't just the picks he has thrown. The offensive breakdown in a game that should have mattered last week is concerning. Dallas could revert to the run, and should be able to move the ball vs Tampa, but in the end, given his history and his ability to move the ball when he needs to this season, I'm choosing Brady over Prescott. Tampa is as healthy as they have been all season. A mistake could decide this game, a pick or an interception, and it is more likely to come from Dallas. Take Tampa + the points.