ROGERS' 10* SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH *EARLY* (83-50-1 CBB RUN)
(NCAAB) Mississippi State vs. Alabama,
Total: 138.50 | -109.00 Under
Result: Win
Engulfed in controversy, top seed Alabama begins its SEC Tournament journey on Friday, facing a Mississippi State team that had to go to overtime yesterday to get by Florida.

It’s not always the case, but generally I like to look at the Under the game after a team went to overtime. Sometimes the betting public just looks at the final score and is unaware the game even went to OT. In the case of Miss State, the score was tied 57-57 at the end of regulation yesterday. That would have been an easy Under (total closed 131) if not for the extra five minutes of basketball.

Miss State has now gone Over in five straight, so this O/U line has been bet up. I don’t agree with that move at all.

Alabama is #4 in the country in defensive efficiency. Miss State is #6!

The Crimson Tide like to play fast (#2 in adjusted tempo), but Miss State goes very slow (#333 in adj tempo). If the Bulldogs are able to slow this game down, then it should be an easy Under. The last time these teams played, they combined for just 129 points and 8 for 43 shooting from three. (Bama won 66-63). 10*