Toledo overs have been a strong play this season going 9-1. Vermont plays at a slow pace but I expect them to spend some time trailing in this game and be pushed by a Rockets team that is 22nd in adjusted tempo. Vermont also combined for 151 points when they faced Ball State (another MAC team this season with an almost identical defensive rating to Toledo). Ball State shot 11 for 24 from the free-throw line in that game. Both Toledo and Vermont are also in the nations bottom-60 in field goal percentage allowed.