Kyle Orton captains the ship for the Bills and the veteran has kept thing moving in the right direction. Orton isn't a top-level talent at QB but controls the game and makes good decisions, throwing for 14 touchdowns against 7 interceptions. Fred Jackson is back to near full health for the Buffalo and he is the do-it-all guy for this offense. Jackson is a capable runner but really poses a match-up problem in the pass game when he has 53 receptions despite missing time this season. Orton is off a terrible game last week and I expect him to bounce back at home this week. Buffalo is very good on the defensive side of the ball. Sammy Watkins can take the top off the defense but the Bills pass game is designed to pick up yards underneath and grind out clock. Robert Woods and Chris Hogan are serviceable possession options for Orton and he has spread it around plenty with nine different Bills catching at least one touchdown pass.
Green Bay has won five straight games but the last three in that stretch have come by three, five and seven points, making this five-point line right in danger zone for the Pack. Look for a lot of Fred Jackson running and pass catching for the Bills with some short routes sprinkled in to move the chains. Scott Chandler could see a lot of action in the seam as Green Bay struggles to cover the tight end. I expect a letdown for GB here and this is a MUST WIN for Buffalo at home if they want to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. The Bills plus the points at home look very tasty to me this afternoon.