Pirates starter Chris Archer gave up 4 runs at Minnesota in his last start (the most in over 10 starts) and gave up just 2 to Colorado on the road at Coors Field. So, you have a pitcher that is on a massive bounce-back and did really well in his start before against the red hot Rockies. Pittsburgh is 14-6 in their last 20 games following a win and the Braves are 3-7 on the road when facing a team with a winning record.
Lets go with the Pirates here at home.