The Brewers are pretty cheap at home tonight as they look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Reds last night in which they were one out away from winning, but allowed a 2-run homer. Now they go with their best starter tonight in Zach Davies, who is 8-2 with a 2.79 ERA in 20 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 0.50 ERA in his last three starts.

After a rough stretch in June, Zach Davies has gotten back on track over his last four outings, posting a 0.77 ERA in 23 1/3 innings, including seven innings of one-run ball last time out. The right-hander owns a 5-0 record in his last 5 starts vs. the Reds. For the Reds Tanner Roark struggles with left-handed hitters to the tune of a .404 wOBA allowed. That's a recipe for disaster against the Brewers are Miller Park. The Brewers best hitters are all lefties with Yelich, Grandal, Moustakas and Thames all carrying massive power. I like Milwaukee here at home on Tuesday night.