Nevada QB Nate Cox, has thrown for just 279 yards with 2 TDs and 1 pick, completing 60.5% of his passes, last year.



NM ST gave up 6 TDs in the air and 463 passing yards last time they played so expect them to be focused on defense in this opener.
With New Mexico State utilizing a run-first offense, a great deal of the play clock will be used each time the Aggies offense is on the field and can generate a sustained drive. The total has finished under in five of New Mexico State’s last six played during August. I think the UNDER is the best play here.