Arizona comes into this game 6-4 in their last 10 games and 43-29 on the season including 20-11 on the road. Arizona is starting Kelly in this game he is 8-3 on the year with a 3.04 ERA. Kelly has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 12 of his 14 starts. Arizona has won 7 of Kelly’s last 9 starts.

Milwaukee comes into this game having won 3 in a row against the struggling Pirates however had lost their previous 6 games including 3 in a row to the worst team in baseball. Milwaukee is 19-21 against over .500 teams. Burnes is starting for Milwaukee he has allowed at least 3 earned runs in 4 of his last 6 starts. Milwaukee has lost 4 of Burnes last 6 starts.

Arizona has the 4th best offense against right handed pitchers with a .782 OPS while Milwaukee has dropped to 21st with a .696 OPS against right handed pitchers. Arizona is on the road but should not be a dog in this spot.

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks ML