Betting Trend: DePaul is 4-18-2 ATS as a home underdog (18.2%) since 2022, the worst home-court advantage among power conference teams.

I fully trust the Golden Eagles to cover the spread tonight vs. DePaul. Marquette is an elite, well-balanced team, ranking in the top 20 in offensive and defensive efficiency. There are numerous advantages on their side, too. They create points off steals at the eighth-highest rate and DePaul ranks 335th in points allowed off breakaway steals. Marquette's perimeter defense (43rd in average opponent 3PT%) will also shut down a Blue Demons squad that attempts too many threes (6th-most 3PT attempts vs. the average opponent). The Golden Eagles have also been off for a full week and didn't have a long trip to Chicago for this matchup. They will be focused and hungry.

The Blue Demons won't cover, as they're 2-8 SU and 1-8-1 ATS in their last ten games with several blowout losses (by 28 to St. John's and 44 to Nova). They started 7-0 but played one of the weakest non-conference schedules (355th-toughest non-con SOS, per KenPom). Per Haslametrics, they rank 362nd nationally in Paper Tiger Factor, which measures how well a team plays vs. bad competition compared to great competition. In short, they fall flat on their face against good teams and beat up on cupcakes.

Bet on Marquette to cover the 13.5-point spread tonight!